The Role of Generative AI in Forecasting

March 22, 2024

This is a blog post from our partner, Workday, highlighting findings on Generative AI from a Deloitte CFO Signals quarterly survey.

In the world of finance, Generative AI has entered the chat.

In a recent CFO Signals, Deloitte focused part of its survey on Gen AI and found that “a sizeable proportion of CFOs’ organizations (42%) are experimenting with it, while 15% are incorporating it into their business strategy.”

Nearly one-quarter (24%) of respondents said they’re “reading and talking about it,” while another 17% opined “it’s too soon to tell.”

Generative AI—the technology that can take vast amounts of data and use it to create new content—has captured the attention of a wide variety of industries.

And it’s no surprise, considering the potential impact of the technology. Last year, McKinsey & Company estimated the global economic benefits of Generative AI could add the equivalent of $2.6 to $4.4 trillion a year across 63 use cases it analyzed. As a point of comparison, the report noted that the United Kingdom’s 2021 GDP was $3.1 trillion.

A Cautious Approach Toward Gen AI

Reflecting a cautious, analytical approach as a whole, the survey’s 115 respondents expressed a few common concerns around Gen AI and the potential benefits of AI in finance.

Finance leaders’ top three concerns were around the technology: “impact to risk and internal controls” (57%), “data infrastructure and technology needs” (52%), and “investment needs (technology and capabilities)” at 51%.

The findings reflect the need for responsible AI on a wide scale to establish trust, minimize risk, and drive greater business performance.

What AI Can Do for the Finance Function

While a significant proportion of CFOs are considering the risks of an increasingly technology-enhanced future, the potential benefits of Generative AI are also dawning on them.

Almost half of finance leaders (49%) named planning, forecasting, and analysis as the top potential uses of Generative AI, far outpacing the automation of routine or transactional processes (26%) and increased efficiency (20%).

Meanwhile, CFOs identified the top three benefits they hope to achieve if their organization were to adopt Gen AI:

Reduce costs (52%)
Improve customer/client experience (50%)
Increase margins, efficiencies, and/or productivity (45%)

Other potential benefits include developing new capabilities, products, or services; creating scale and/or capacity; and improving the accuracy of forecasting, modeling, and scenario planning.

What’s Needed to Incorporate Gen AI in Finance

Lending weight to the idea that intelligent finance demands a human-centered approach to AI, a majority of CFOs (63%) said talent resources and capabilities present the biggest barrier to adopting and deploying Gen AI within their organizations.

Finance leaders further said that the single most important factor in helping them make decisions related to using Gen AI are use cases (39%). CFOs also mentioned wanting to understand the ROI of gen AI, as well understanding of risks and limitations along with best practices from peers within their industry.

While widespread adoption of AI in finance hasn’t yet happened, it’s clear that it’s on the radar of many CFOs in the forefront.

“Do they have the necessary data, technology, and talent to implement GenAI?” Deloitte wrote in its report. “The survey results suggest no―not yet anyway. But for now, CFOs appear to be curious about the upsides and downsides of GenAI, and what opportunities, as well as challenges, the technology might bring.”